Thursday, 29 March 2012

This weekend's Premiership Predictions

Carmarthen Quins v Bedwas

Quins are on a six-match winning streak and unbeaten in the league since the second day of January. They’ll be big favourites to beat Bedwas even though they haven’t seen any Premiership action for three weeks. Quins have lost just twice at home all season although Bedwas haven’t got the worst of away records.

Verdict – Quins by 15 points

Cross Keys v Aberavon

Before losing at Neath in their last league outing, Keys had won four in a row and last weekend went through to the semi-finals of the Swalec Cup. With the Wizards looking to keep first place with a win, Keys could go top themselves if they pick up a bonus-point victory and others slip up.

Verdict – Aberavon by 3 points

Llanelli v Cardiff

Llanelli edged the reverse fixture by two points last October and the Scarlets have to win again to stay in the hunt for a top three place and a successful defence of their title. Cardiff’s inconsistency can be seen in their last two performances, a victory at home over Aberavon and a defeat at Pontypool. This should be a home win.

Verdict – Llanelli by 10 points

Newport v Swansea

Both sides go into this one on the back of morale-denting losses, Swansea in the cup at Ebbw Vale and Newport in the league at Cross Keys where they shipped 50 points. However, Newport at home seem to be a different team and they’ve won their last three at Rodney Parade, including successes against Neath and Pontypridd.

Verdict – Newport by 9 points

Pontypridd v Neath

Pontypridd have games in hand on the six clubs above them in the table but they’ll know that a win on Saturday will not only work wonders for them but dent Neath’s championship aspirations too. And the hosts had a perfect warm-up by beating the Welsh All Blacks in the cup last weekend but they and their fans know that this is likely to be an even tougher assignment.

Verdict – Pontypridd by five points

Tonmawr v Llandovery

A great chance for Llandovery to bag a bonus point and perhaps move to the summit should Aberavon and Neath fail to win their matches. Tonmawr scored 34 points at Aberavon last Saturday but still conceded more than 50 so it’s quite clear where their weakness lies.

Verdict – Llandovery by 25 points

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