Friday, 1 November 2013

Principality Premiership Weekend Predictions

With the wet weather showing no sign of easing up, this weekend’s Principality fixtures may turn into a bit of a mud fest. However, one place we’ll be sure of some running rugby is at the Arm’s Park where second place Cardiff host unbeaten leaders Carmarthen Quins in the match of the day on the pristine plastic pitch.
Aberavon v Llandovery
The Wizards currently occupy bottom position and will be really hoping that the home comforts of the Talbot Athletic Ground can spur them on to only their second victory, but it will be a tough ask against the Drovers who have won four of their six matches.
This will only be Llandovery’s second match on the road this season but they looked good in their victory over Newport last time out, winning at a canter. Despite the gap between these sides in the league table, and in the form guide, I still expect a competitive contest but I don’t think Simon King’s troops will get the win they so desperately need.
Verdict- Llandovery by 9 points
Cardiff v Carmarthen Quins 6.30 kick off
The top two clash in undoubtedly the match of the day at the later than usual time of 6.30, with Cardiff hoping a number of Blues fans stick around to watch the semi-professionals in action.
There are a fair few similarities in the way these two teams play, with big ball carriers taking the direct root before unleashing their potent backs, with each side having crossed the whitewash no less than 22 times already this season - only Llandovery have a better record.
Cardiff have home advantage, but the Blue and Blacks know that if they put in a repeat performance of their first half showing against Swansea last week they could very well be out of the match come the interval. Quins will take a great deal of confidence in the way they dispatched a dogged Bedwas at the Bridge Field last week and I think the visitors will keep their winning record intact...just!
Verdict- Carmarthen Quins by 3 points
Cross Keys v Swansea
Keys will be looking to complete an early season double over the Whites having defeated them on the opening day of the season at St Helens. However, the Gwent side only just squeaked past Mefin Davies’ troops that day and I envisage another slogfest tomorrow.
Swansea should have a host of talent available to them again after International commitments, including Junior World Player of the year Sam Davies, while full Welsh international Dan Baker may also get a start.
The hosts did just enough to dispatch Bridgend last weekend but in my opinion they will need to put in a better showing if they are to come away with the points tomorrow.
Verdict- Cross Keys by 6 points
 Newport v Bridgend
Newport’s solitary win of the season came against Ospreylian opposition at Rodney Parade and the home faithful will be hoping their team can once again produce the goods. However, Sven Cronk’s side were woeful at Llandovery last weekend, while Bridgend picked up a hard-fought point at Pandy Park. I don’t expect a feast of running rugby here but both sides will feel a win is essential, and with the teams in the lower echelons of the league already nervously anticipating a dog fight for relegation, picking up points against their rivals at the bottom will prove crucial.
This is a tough one to call but, with home advantage, I think the Black and Ambers should come out on top.

Verdict- Newport by 3 points

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